Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 1?
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 25%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
25%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 25%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
14°C or below
$91 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$154 Vol.
1%
16°C
$75 Vol.
2%
17°C
$73 Vol.
3%
18°C
$169 Vol.
9%
19°C
$233 Vol.
26%
20°C
$3,951 Vol.
37%
21°C
$285 Vol.
25%
22°C
$76 Vol.
4%
23°C
$68 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,237End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,237End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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