Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 2?
27°C 36%
28°C 35%
29°C 21%
26°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
20%
26°C
21%
27°C
36%
28°C
35%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 35%
29°C 21%
26°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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