Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow over Qingdao through August 3, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical August humidity levels near 70-80%. Coastal sea-breeze effects and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, keeping 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical August averages near 29-30°C provide baseline context, while current model consensus on high solar insolation and limited precipitation favors slight warming above the mean without reaching extreme heat thresholds. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 3?
35°C 34%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
28%
35°C
34%
36°C
22%
37°C or higher
8%
35°C 34%
34°C 28%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$306 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
2%
31°C
$20 Vol.
4%
32°C
$77 Vol.
3%
33°C
$67 Vol.
11%
34°C
$44 Vol.
28%
35°C
$153 Vol.
34%
36°C
$0 Vol.
22%
37°C or higher
$165 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow over Qingdao through August 3, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical August humidity levels near 70-80%. Coastal sea-breeze effects and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, keeping 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical August averages near 29-30°C provide baseline context, while current model consensus on high solar insolation and limited precipitation favors slight warming above the mean without reaching extreme heat thresholds. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,566End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow over Qingdao through August 3, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical August humidity levels near 70-80%. Coastal sea-breeze effects and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, keeping 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical August averages near 29-30°C provide baseline context, while current model consensus on high solar insolation and limited precipitation favors slight warming above the mean without reaching extreme heat thresholds. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,566End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions and light southerly flow over Qingdao through August 3, supporting daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical August humidity levels near 70-80%. Coastal sea-breeze effects and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty, keeping 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical August averages near 29-30°C provide baseline context, while current model consensus on high solar insolation and limited precipitation favors slight warming above the mean without reaching extreme heat thresholds. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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