National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 indicate temperatures 1–2 °C above seasonal normals across the Makkah region, sustaining the elevated heat pattern already observed in late July. Numerical weather prediction ensembles, including those referenced by regional forecasters, currently cluster Jeddah maximums near 40–42 °C for early August, with limited marine moderation from the Red Sea and minimal cloud cover expected to support strong daytime heating. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 41 °C+ and 40 °C outcomes, while the 2–3 day forecast horizon allows for modest revisions from updated model runs or localized sea-breeze effects before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 3?
41°C or higher 47%
40°C 25%
39°C 18%
38°C 6%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
18%
40°C
25%
41°C or higher
47%
41°C or higher 47%
40°C 25%
39°C 18%
38°C 6%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
18%
40°C
25%
41°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 indicate temperatures 1–2 °C above seasonal normals across the Makkah region, sustaining the elevated heat pattern already observed in late July. Numerical weather prediction ensembles, including those referenced by regional forecasters, currently cluster Jeddah maximums near 40–42 °C for early August, with limited marine moderation from the Red Sea and minimal cloud cover expected to support strong daytime heating. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 41 °C+ and 40 °C outcomes, while the 2–3 day forecast horizon allows for modest revisions from updated model runs or localized sea-breeze effects before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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