High pressure building over southern England is the main driver pushing London’s maximum temperature on August 3 toward the low 30s °C, with Met Office and BBC forecasts indicating 28–31 °C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, consistent with the above-average summer temperatures already recorded in 2026. Small differences in afternoon cloud development or exact wind direction between ensemble members account for the tight market split between 30 °C and 31 °C, while climatological August averages near 22 °C highlight the anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 3?
Highest temperature in London on August 3?
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
37%
31°C
32%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$388 Vol.
1%
27°C
$506 Vol.
1%
28°C
$278 Vol.
6%
29°C
$407 Vol.
15%
30°C
$850 Vol.
37%
31°C
$559 Vol.
32%
32°C
$398 Vol.
13%
33°C
$2,253 Vol.
4%
34°C
$133 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$350 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over southern England is the main driver pushing London’s maximum temperature on August 3 toward the low 30s °C, with Met Office and BBC forecasts indicating 28–31 °C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, consistent with the above-average summer temperatures already recorded in 2026. Small differences in afternoon cloud development or exact wind direction between ensemble members account for the tight market split between 30 °C and 31 °C, while climatological August averages near 22 °C highlight the anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,376End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over southern England is the main driver pushing London’s maximum temperature on August 3 toward the low 30s °C, with Met Office and BBC forecasts indicating 28–31 °C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, consistent with the above-average summer temperatures already recorded in 2026. Small differences in afternoon cloud development or exact wind direction between ensemble members account for the tight market split between 30 °C and 31 °C, while climatological August averages near 22 °C highlight the anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,376End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building over southern England is the main driver pushing London’s maximum temperature on August 3 toward the low 30s °C, with Met Office and BBC forecasts indicating 28–31 °C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, consistent with the above-average summer temperatures already recorded in 2026. Small differences in afternoon cloud development or exact wind direction between ensemble members account for the tight market split between 30 °C and 31 °C, while climatological August averages near 22 °C highlight the anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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