Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate typical midsummer overnight conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon expected near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C outcomes that reflect minor variations in model guidance on radiative cooling and cloud cover. Historical August baselines show average lows of 23–24°C, but current patterns suggest slightly warmer nights amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could adjust the recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
47%
27°C
24%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$139 Vol.
2%
23°C
$33 Vol.
3%
24°C
$72 Vol.
5%
25°C
$23 Vol.
23%
26°C
$413 Vol.
47%
27°C
$45 Vol.
24%
28°C
$33 Vol.
9%
29°C
$285 Vol.
2%
30°C
$32 Vol.
5%
31°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$129 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate typical midsummer overnight conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon expected near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C outcomes that reflect minor variations in model guidance on radiative cooling and cloud cover. Historical August baselines show average lows of 23–24°C, but current patterns suggest slightly warmer nights amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could adjust the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,247End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate typical midsummer overnight conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon expected near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C outcomes that reflect minor variations in model guidance on radiative cooling and cloud cover. Historical August baselines show average lows of 23–24°C, but current patterns suggest slightly warmer nights amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could adjust the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,247End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate typical midsummer overnight conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with minimum temperatures in Seoul and Incheon expected near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C outcomes that reflect minor variations in model guidance on radiative cooling and cloud cover. Historical August baselines show average lows of 23–24°C, but current patterns suggest slightly warmer nights amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could adjust the recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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