Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by AccuWeather place Karachi's early August daily highs near the 31–34°C range, aligning with the long-term climatological average of approximately 32°C for the month amid the monsoon season. Above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks for Sindh, combined with typical pre-monsoon humidity and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks, position 33°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments. Recent weekly guidance indicating normal to slightly below-normal temperatures through early August introduces modest downside risk, while any clearer skies or reduced rainfall could support the 34°C tail. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 3?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by AccuWeather place Karachi's early August daily highs near the 31–34°C range, aligning with the long-term climatological average of approximately 32°C for the month amid the monsoon season. Above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks for Sindh, combined with typical pre-monsoon humidity and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks, position 33°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments. Recent weekly guidance indicating normal to slightly below-normal temperatures through early August introduces modest downside risk, while any clearer skies or reduced rainfall could support the 34°C tail. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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