Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on August 1 centering near 32–34°C because short-range forecast models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or lighter winds allow peaks to reach the mid-30s. Karachi’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect that keeps extremes rare, yet small differences in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges—captured differently across ensemble members—explain the tight spread among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 1?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 1?
33°C 37%
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
9%
31°C
12%
32°C
21%
33°C
37%
34°C
25%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 25%
32°C 21%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
37%
34°C
$11 Vol.
25%
35°C
$0 Vol.
11%
36°C
$13 Vol.
2%
37°C
$31 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on August 1 centering near 32–34°C because short-range forecast models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or lighter winds allow peaks to reach the mid-30s. Karachi’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect that keeps extremes rare, yet small differences in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges—captured differently across ensemble members—explain the tight spread among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on August 1 centering near 32–34°C because short-range forecast models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or lighter winds allow peaks to reach the mid-30s. Karachi’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect that keeps extremes rare, yet small differences in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges—captured differently across ensemble members—explain the tight spread among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on August 1 centering near 32–34°C because short-range forecast models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer breaks or lighter winds allow peaks to reach the mid-30s. Karachi’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect that keeps extremes rare, yet small differences in the timing and intensity of monsoon surges—captured differently across ensemble members—explain the tight spread among the leading outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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