Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
33°C 35%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
31%
35°C
13%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 35%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
$548 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$507 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$223 Vol.
1%
29°C
$249 Vol.
2%
30°C
$61 Vol.
2%
31°C
$18 Vol.
5%
32°C
$79 Vol.
18%
33°C
$134 Vol.
35%
34°C
$109 Vol.
31%
35°C
$24 Vol.
13%
36°C or higher
$161 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,111End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,111End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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