Weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently project Beijing's June 15 high near 28–31 °C, with 29 °C and 30 °C emerging as the tightest market clusters because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing. A building subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime insolation, while light southerly flow and urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally; however, any increase in low-level moisture or a slight westward shift of the high would cap temperatures near 28 °C. Historical June averages in Beijing hover around 30 °C, so the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution at the official observatory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 11%
$24,923 Vol.
$24,923 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
22%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 11%
$24,923 Vol.
$24,923 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
22%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently project Beijing's June 15 high near 28–31 °C, with 29 °C and 30 °C emerging as the tightest market clusters because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing. A building subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime insolation, while light southerly flow and urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally; however, any increase in low-level moisture or a slight westward shift of the high would cap temperatures near 28 °C. Historical June averages in Beijing hover around 30 °C, so the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution at the official observatory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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