Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Chengdu's August 21 high temperature will likely fall between 30–34°C, driving the market's concentration around 31–33°C amid significant uncertainty. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting monsoon influences create model divergence on peak solar heating and humidity levels, while historical August baselines near 32°C provide context. Traders weigh upcoming updated runs and local observations for resolution criteria based on verified daily maxima, with lower-probability extremes reflecting rare clear-sky intensification or persistent rain suppression scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
32°C 33%
31°C 22%
34°C 18%
33°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
22%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
18%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 22%
34°C 18%
33°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
4%
28°C
$56 Vol.
5%
29°C
$15 Vol.
6%
30°C
$31 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$5 Vol.
33%
33°C
$39 Vol.
17%
34°C
$3 Vol.
18%
35°C
$81 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Chengdu's August 21 high temperature will likely fall between 30–34°C, driving the market's concentration around 31–33°C amid significant uncertainty. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting monsoon influences create model divergence on peak solar heating and humidity levels, while historical August baselines near 32°C provide context. Traders weigh upcoming updated runs and local observations for resolution criteria based on verified daily maxima, with lower-probability extremes reflecting rare clear-sky intensification or persistent rain suppression scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$418End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Chengdu's August 21 high temperature will likely fall between 30–34°C, driving the market's concentration around 31–33°C amid significant uncertainty. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting monsoon influences create model divergence on peak solar heating and humidity levels, while historical August baselines near 32°C provide context. Traders weigh upcoming updated runs and local observations for resolution criteria based on verified daily maxima, with lower-probability extremes reflecting rare clear-sky intensification or persistent rain suppression scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$418End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Chengdu's August 21 high temperature will likely fall between 30–34°C, driving the market's concentration around 31–33°C amid significant uncertainty. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and shifting monsoon influences create model divergence on peak solar heating and humidity levels, while historical August baselines near 32°C provide context. Traders weigh upcoming updated runs and local observations for resolution criteria based on verified daily maxima, with lower-probability extremes reflecting rare clear-sky intensification or persistent rain suppression scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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