Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating in Chicago on June 19. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s at official reporting sites, consistent with market-implied odds clustering around 76–79 °F. Lake Michigan’s cool, stable boundary layer and onshore flow add further suppression, especially if winds remain easterly. Historical June normals near 82 °F provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows a several-degree negative departure driven by post-storm stabilization following the June 11 severe weather outbreak. Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary placement keeps adjacent bins competitive, with traders monitoring updated NWS Chicago forecasts and mesoscale model trends through resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on June 19?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 19?
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 8.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 8.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
67°F or below
$38 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$200 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$915 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$1,011 交易量
8%
74-75°F
$605 交易量
22%
76-77°F
$413 交易量
36%
78-79°F
$153 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$33 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$16 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$55 交易量
2%
86°F or higher
$540 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating in Chicago on June 19. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s at official reporting sites, consistent with market-implied odds clustering around 76–79 °F. Lake Michigan’s cool, stable boundary layer and onshore flow add further suppression, especially if winds remain easterly. Historical June normals near 82 °F provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows a several-degree negative departure driven by post-storm stabilization following the June 11 severe weather outbreak. Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary placement keeps adjacent bins competitive, with traders monitoring updated NWS Chicago forecasts and mesoscale model trends through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,979結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating in Chicago on June 19. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s at official reporting sites, consistent with market-implied odds clustering around 76–79 °F. Lake Michigan’s cool, stable boundary layer and onshore flow add further suppression, especially if winds remain easterly. Historical June normals near 82 °F provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows a several-degree negative departure driven by post-storm stabilization following the June 11 severe weather outbreak. Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary placement keeps adjacent bins competitive, with traders monitoring updated NWS Chicago forecasts and mesoscale model trends through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,979結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with a weak frontal boundary and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating in Chicago on June 19. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s at official reporting sites, consistent with market-implied odds clustering around 76–79 °F. Lake Michigan’s cool, stable boundary layer and onshore flow add further suppression, especially if winds remain easterly. Historical June normals near 82 °F provide context, yet current short-range guidance shows a several-degree negative departure driven by post-storm stabilization following the June 11 severe weather outbreak. Uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary placement keeps adjacent bins competitive, with traders monitoring updated NWS Chicago forecasts and mesoscale model trends through resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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