Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus point to a 30°C peak on June 13 as the most likely outcome, reflecting the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability. Early-June conditions have featured frequent showers and cloud cover that cap daytime heating near or below the 30–31°C climatological average, while above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming and ENSO influences keep 31°C within reach if skies clear. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the maximum; updated HKO briefings and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread among the tightly clustered 29–31°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 июня?
30°C 36%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
36%
31°C
22%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$21 Объем
<1%
26°C
$64 Объем
<1%
27°C
$675 Объем
5%
28°C
$152 Объем
9%
29°C
$94 Объем
25%
30°C
$76 Объем
36%
31°C
$54 Объем
22%
32°C
$11 Объем
9%
33°C
$111 Объем
6%
34°C
$84 Объем
1%
35°C или выше
$570 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus point to a 30°C peak on June 13 as the most likely outcome, reflecting the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability. Early-June conditions have featured frequent showers and cloud cover that cap daytime heating near or below the 30–31°C climatological average, while above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming and ENSO influences keep 31°C within reach if skies clear. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the maximum; updated HKO briefings and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread among the tightly clustered 29–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$1,909Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus point to a 30°C peak on June 13 as the most likely outcome, reflecting the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability. Early-June conditions have featured frequent showers and cloud cover that cap daytime heating near or below the 30–31°C climatological average, while above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming and ENSO influences keep 31°C within reach if skies clear. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the maximum; updated HKO briefings and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread among the tightly clustered 29–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,909Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus point to a 30°C peak on June 13 as the most likely outcome, reflecting the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability. Early-June conditions have featured frequent showers and cloud cover that cap daytime heating near or below the 30–31°C climatological average, while above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming and ENSO influences keep 31°C within reach if skies clear. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the maximum; updated HKO briefings and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread among the tightly clustered 29–31°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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