Current Met Office and multi-model forecasts position a 19°C high as the leading outcome for London on October 9, driven by mild westerly flow from the Atlantic under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and winds of 15–30 km/h. Ensemble guidance clusters maxima between 18–20°C, consistent with recent model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid high humidity and frontal influences. Traders assign 45.5% implied probability to 19°C and 33% to 20°C, reflecting consensus on these near-term projections while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C. Further Met Office updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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