Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月20日馬德裏氣溫最高？
6月20日馬德裏氣溫最高？
38°C 42%
37°C 27%
40°C 15%
39°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
33°C或以下
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
9%
37°C
27%
38°C
42%
39°C
14%
40°C
15%
41°C
6%
42°C
1%
43°C或更高
<1%
38°C 42%
37°C 27%
40°C 15%
39°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
33°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
34°C
$0 交易量
1%
35°C
$0 交易量
9%
36°C
$37 交易量
9%
37°C
$67 交易量
27%
38°C
$70 交易量
42%
39°C
$7 交易量
14%
40°C
$0 交易量
15%
41°C
$162 交易量
6%
42°C
$0 交易量
1%
43°C或更高
$47 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$383結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$383結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions