Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?
90-91°F 61%
88-89°F 40.3%
92-93°F 20%
94-95°F 1.2%
$44,690 交易量
$44,690 交易量
2026-07-03
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
61%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 61%
88-89°F 40.3%
92-93°F 20%
94-95°F 1.2%
$44,690 交易量
$44,690 交易量
2026-07-03
81°F or below
$1,438 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$3,930 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$2,309 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$5,523 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$6,990 交易量
40%
90-91°F
$11,410 交易量
61%
92-93°F
$5,728 交易量
20%
94-95°F
$3,356 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$1,912 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$1,578 交易量
1%
100°F or higher
$629 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$44,690結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,690結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETCurrent forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions