Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and European ensembles indicate Milan highs near 30–32°C on June 13, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Mid-June climatology places average daily maxima around 27–28°C, but a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow support above-normal warmth and limited cloud cover, elevating the chance of 31–33°C readings. Traders are weighting these dynamical signals over longer-term baselines, with shorter-range updates from the ECMWF and GFS likely to refine peak temperatures and any convective cooling risks before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on June 13?
31°C 37%
32°C 16%
34°C 14%
29°C 13.9%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 16%
34°C 14%
29°C 13.9%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and European ensembles indicate Milan highs near 30–32°C on June 13, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Mid-June climatology places average daily maxima around 27–28°C, but a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow support above-normal warmth and limited cloud cover, elevating the chance of 31–33°C readings. Traders are weighting these dynamical signals over longer-term baselines, with shorter-range updates from the ECMWF and GFS likely to refine peak temperatures and any convective cooling risks before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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