**Forecast models and official guidance point to a daytime maximum near 13°C in Moscow on October 1 under persistent high-pressure conditions.** An anticyclone centered over the region is producing northerly flow, extensive low-to-mid cloud cover, and limited insolation, keeping temperatures close to the long-term average high of roughly 12.9°C. Latest runs from global and regional models converge on afternoon readings of 12–14°C, with minimal diurnal recovery expected amid the stable airmass. Traders have priced 13°C as the clear favorite at 52.5% implied probability, followed by 14°C at 26.5%, reflecting the tight clustering of guidance and low odds of significant deviation before official observations are finalized.