Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate a daytime maximum near 12°C in Moscow on October 10 under increasing cloud cover and southwesterly winds of 15–18 mph. This follows warmer conditions on October 8–9, when highs reached 16–18°C, as a cooler maritime air mass advances. Model consensus centers on 11–12°C peaks, with minor spread arising from exact frontal timing, precipitation efficiency, and boundary-layer mixing. Higher outcomes above 13°C would require stronger southerly flow or delayed cooling, while lower readings hinge on heavier showers or clearer radiational cooling overnight. Updated model guidance and official Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.