Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Moscow’s October 8 high will likely peak near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions limit daytime heating while overnight lows around 4–6°C establish a modest diurnal range consistent with early-autumn climatology. Recent model consensus has converged on this narrow band after milder conditions on October 7, reducing the chance of a 15°C+ outlier. Traders have priced 14°C and 13°C as the dominant outcomes because official meteorological guidance and ensemble spreads show limited upside potential without a significant shift in steering flow or cloud cover before the daily maximum is recorded.