Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS, indicate Moscow will experience clearing skies and westerly flow on October 7, supporting a daytime high near 14–16 °C under building high pressure. This represents a modest positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 11 °C for the date. Limited cloud cover and moderate winds (10–14 mph) will allow solar heating to peak in the mid-afternoon, while overnight lows near 6–8 °C set a modest baseline. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing keeps the precise maximum uncertain within a 2 °C window, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16 °C. Updated runs from NOAA and European centers in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range ahead of resolution.