Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently project a daytime maximum of 23–26°C for Taipei on June 12 amid persistent overcast skies and passing showers tied to the plum rain front and southwesterly moisture flow. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds, with 26°C holding a narrow lead as traders weigh modest warming potential if cloud breaks allow brief solar heating against the moderating effects of widespread cloud cover and precipitation. Typical June highs near 31–32°C are suppressed by these synoptic conditions, while model consensus shows limited disagreement on the upper bound. Updated CWA guidance and any late-day convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the 25–28°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 12?
26°C 28%
27°C 23%
25°C 16%
28°C 16%
$13,988 Vol.
$13,988 Vol.
24°C or below
11%
25°C
16%
26°C
28%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 28%
27°C 23%
25°C 16%
28°C 16%
$13,988 Vol.
$13,988 Vol.
24°C or below
11%
25°C
16%
26°C
28%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently project a daytime maximum of 23–26°C for Taipei on June 12 amid persistent overcast skies and passing showers tied to the plum rain front and southwesterly moisture flow. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds, with 26°C holding a narrow lead as traders weigh modest warming potential if cloud breaks allow brief solar heating against the moderating effects of widespread cloud cover and precipitation. Typical June highs near 31–32°C are suppressed by these synoptic conditions, while model consensus shows limited disagreement on the upper bound. Updated CWA guidance and any late-day convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities among the 25–28°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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