Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月20日東京氣溫最高？
6月20日東京氣溫最高？
24°C 30%
23°C 27%
22°C 19%
26°C 8.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
27%
24°C
30%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 30%
23°C 27%
22°C 19%
26°C 8.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
18°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
19°C
$0 交易量
1%
20°C
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$43 交易量
7%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
30%
25°C
$0 交易量
6%
26°C
$0 交易量
9%
27°C
$0 交易量
3%
28°C or higher
$2 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-20市場開放時間
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions