Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月30日のワルシャワの最高気温は?
32℃ 30%
31℃ 28%
30℃ 16%
33℃ 15%
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
8%
30℃
16%
31℃
28%
32℃
30%
33℃
15%
34℃
5%
35°C
4%
36℃以上
1%
32℃ 30%
31℃ 28%
30℃ 16%
33℃ 15%
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
8%
30℃
16%
31℃
28%
32℃
30%
33℃
15%
34℃
5%
35°C
4%
36℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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