Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate Mexico City’s overnight low on October 6 will likely reach 13–14°C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season supports these mild minima rather than the colder values typical of clear October nights. Historical climatology shows average October lows near 9°C, yet the current pattern favors higher readings. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential model shifts ahead of the event, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine consensus in the coming days.