Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight a cold snap overnight under a Scandinavian anticyclone, with northerly winds at 5–10 m/s, high pressure near 763–777 mmHg, and partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling to drive the daily minimum. This setup aligns with early October climatology, where the average low reaches about 5.3°C, though model ensembles show modest spread from variations in cloud cover, exact advection timing, and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate 4°C versus 6°C scenarios. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise pre-dawn minimum rather than extremes, with fresh model runs and observational updates likely to refine probabilities before resolution.