Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate Tel Aviv's minimum temperature on September 27 will likely settle near 21–23°C under clear skies, light easterly winds overnight, and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's Mediterranean autumn transition. This aligns closely with climatological baselines around 21.7°C, where radiational cooling is tempered by proximity to the Mediterranean Sea and minimal cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in wind direction or dew point could push the overnight low a degree or two in either direction, while historical variability shows occasional cooler anomalies below 20°C. Updated high-resolution model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds for these tightly contested outcomes.