Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains a Likely Democratic contest according to nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary between Rep. Angie Craig and endorsed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has drawn significant fundraising and party resources, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya lead a less consolidated field. Head-to-head polling through mid-2026 shows Democratic nominees ahead by single or double digits, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and DFL structural advantages in turnout and endorsements. Trader consensus at 90% Democratic reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major disruptive developments ahead of the August primary and November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$30,883 Vol.
$30,883 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
91%
Republican
7%
$30,883 Vol.
$30,883 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$20,598 Vol.
91%
Republican
$10,285 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains a Likely Democratic contest according to nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary between Rep. Angie Craig and endorsed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has drawn significant fundraising and party resources, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya lead a less consolidated field. Head-to-head polling through mid-2026 shows Democratic nominees ahead by single or double digits, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and DFL structural advantages in turnout and endorsements. Trader consensus at 90% Democratic reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major disruptive developments ahead of the August primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$30,883Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains a Likely Democratic contest according to nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary between Rep. Angie Craig and endorsed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has drawn significant fundraising and party resources, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya lead a less consolidated field. Head-to-head polling through mid-2026 shows Democratic nominees ahead by single or double digits, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and DFL structural advantages in turnout and endorsements. Trader consensus at 90% Democratic reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major disruptive developments ahead of the August primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$30,883Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, remains a Likely Democratic contest according to nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary between Rep. Angie Craig and endorsed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has drawn significant fundraising and party resources, while Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya lead a less consolidated field. Head-to-head polling through mid-2026 shows Democratic nominees ahead by single or double digits, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and DFL structural advantages in turnout and endorsements. Trader consensus at 90% Democratic reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major disruptive developments ahead of the August primary and November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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