The tight clustering of trader consensus around 49% for Birk Risa, Marcelo Silva, and Eddie Segura underscores an exceptionally open early 2026 MLS Defender of the Year race after roughly 12 matchdays, with no single center back establishing clear dominance. Strong defensive showings from these players—highlighted by clean sheets, interceptions, and progressive passing—have kept their implied probabilities bunched alongside Tristan Blackmon, Yevhen Cheberko, and Kevin Long in the 43-49% range. Midseason defensive rankings and team performances from clubs like LAFC, Real Salt Lake, and Vancouver have reinforced this parity, while lower probabilities for established names like Miles Robinson and Michael Boxall reflect slower starts relative to the frontrunners' current form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBirk Risa 49.5%
Marcelo Silva 49.0%
Eddie Segura 48.0%
Yevhen Cheberko 47.9%
$57,382 Vol.
$57,382 Vol.
Birk Risa
49%
Marcelo Silva
49%
Eddie Segura
48%
Yevhen Cheberko
48%
Tristan Blackmon
48%
Joakim Nilsson
25%
Lucas Bartlett
12%
Andrés Reyes
9%
Dany Rosero
6%
Maya Yoshida
5%
Jackson Ragen
4%
Andrew Privett
17%
Michael Boxall
3%
Walker Zimmerman
3%
Jalen Neal
15%
Enea Mihaj
13%
Kamal Miller
15%
Rodrigues
13%
Aaron Long
2%
Nkosi Tafari
2%
Brendan Hines-Ike
2%
Joel Waterman
17%
Thiago Martins
14%
Miles Robinson
16%
Robert Voloder
2%
Sigurd Rosted
13%
Erik Sviatchenko
11%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
13%
Lalas Abubakar
17%
Mauricio Pineda
14%
Christopher McVey
13%
Adilson Malanda
12%
Ranko Veselinović
15%
Noah Eile
13%
Matt Miazga
1%
Henry Kessler
12%
Micael
12%
Sean Nealis
12%
Miguel Tapias
12%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Andreas Maxsø
14%
Dave Romney
14%
Jakob Glesnes
13%
Stian Gregersen
11%
David Brekalo
17%
Robin Jansson
5%
Zac McGraw
11%
Justen Glad
7%
Sebastien Ibeagha
12%
Jack Elliott
13%
Donovan Pines
15%
Rudy Camacho
12%
Maximiliano Falcón
15%
Tomás Avilés
16%
Oleksandr Svatok
10%
Carlos Terán
20%
Jack Maher
11%
Tim Parker
5%
Daniel Munie
16%
Kevin Long
48%
Birk Risa 49.5%
Marcelo Silva 49.0%
Eddie Segura 48.0%
Yevhen Cheberko 47.9%
$57,382 Vol.
$57,382 Vol.
Birk Risa
49%
Marcelo Silva
49%
Eddie Segura
48%
Yevhen Cheberko
48%
Tristan Blackmon
48%
Joakim Nilsson
25%
Lucas Bartlett
12%
Andrés Reyes
9%
Dany Rosero
6%
Maya Yoshida
5%
Jackson Ragen
4%
Andrew Privett
17%
Michael Boxall
3%
Walker Zimmerman
3%
Jalen Neal
15%
Enea Mihaj
13%
Kamal Miller
15%
Rodrigues
13%
Aaron Long
2%
Nkosi Tafari
2%
Brendan Hines-Ike
2%
Joel Waterman
17%
Thiago Martins
14%
Miles Robinson
16%
Robert Voloder
2%
Sigurd Rosted
13%
Erik Sviatchenko
11%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
13%
Lalas Abubakar
17%
Mauricio Pineda
14%
Christopher McVey
13%
Adilson Malanda
12%
Ranko Veselinović
15%
Noah Eile
13%
Matt Miazga
1%
Henry Kessler
12%
Micael
12%
Sean Nealis
12%
Miguel Tapias
12%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Andreas Maxsø
14%
Dave Romney
14%
Jakob Glesnes
13%
Stian Gregersen
11%
David Brekalo
17%
Robin Jansson
5%
Zac McGraw
11%
Justen Glad
7%
Sebastien Ibeagha
12%
Jack Elliott
13%
Donovan Pines
15%
Rudy Camacho
12%
Maximiliano Falcón
15%
Tomás Avilés
16%
Oleksandr Svatok
10%
Carlos Terán
20%
Jack Maher
11%
Tim Parker
5%
Daniel Munie
16%
Kevin Long
48%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of trader consensus around 49% for Birk Risa, Marcelo Silva, and Eddie Segura underscores an exceptionally open early 2026 MLS Defender of the Year race after roughly 12 matchdays, with no single center back establishing clear dominance. Strong defensive showings from these players—highlighted by clean sheets, interceptions, and progressive passing—have kept their implied probabilities bunched alongside Tristan Blackmon, Yevhen Cheberko, and Kevin Long in the 43-49% range. Midseason defensive rankings and team performances from clubs like LAFC, Real Salt Lake, and Vancouver have reinforced this parity, while lower probabilities for established names like Miles Robinson and Michael Boxall reflect slower starts relative to the frontrunners' current form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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