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icon for NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?
Sports·NBA

NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?

icon for NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?
Sports·NBA

NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?

NEW
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

July 13, 2026

$0 Vol.

25%

July 20, 2026

$0 Vol.

51%

July 27, 2026

$0 Vol.

50%

August 3, 2026

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after opting out of his final year with the Los Angeles Lakers and informing the team on June 30 that he would play elsewhere in 2026-27. The NBA free-agency negotiation period opened shortly thereafter, with the signing moratorium lifting on July 6, allowing teams to finalize deals. As of July 10, James remains unsigned while fielding interest from multiple contenders, including the Cleveland Cavaliers, Miami Heat, New York Knicks, and Philadelphia 76ers, with reports of recruiting pitches delivered via voice memos to his agent Rich Paul. Trader sentiment on a signing deadline reflects the pace of these discussions, James’ preference for competitive rosters at age 41, and the possibility of a veteran-minimum or short-term deal that could accelerate or delay resolution depending on roster fit and cap flexibility.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date.

If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

All dates will be measured in Eastern Time.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volume
$0
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after opting out of his final year with the Los Angeles Lakers and informing the team on June 30 that he would play elsewhere in 2026-27. The NBA free-agency negotiation period opened shortly thereafter, with the signing moratorium lifting on July 6, allowing teams to finalize deals. As of July 10, James remains unsigned while fielding interest from multiple contenders, including the Cleveland Cavaliers, Miami Heat, New York Knicks, and Philadelphia 76ers, with reports of recruiting pitches delivered via voice memos to his agent Rich Paul. Trader sentiment on a signing deadline reflects the pace of these discussions, James’ preference for competitive rosters at age 41, and the possibility of a veteran-minimum or short-term deal that could accelerate or delay resolution depending on roster fit and cap flexibility.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date.

If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

All dates will be measured in Eastern Time.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volume
$0
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "July 20, 2026" at 50%, followed by "July 27, 2026" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?" is "July 20, 2026" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 27, 2026" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.