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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 75%

Callum Turner 8.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.2%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Polymarket

$2,179,764 Vol.

No Bond chosen 75%

Callum Turner 8.6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.2%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Polymarket

$2,179,764 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$268,106 Vol.

75%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$143,474 Vol.

9%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$116,851 Vol.

5%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$258,554 Vol.

3%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$315,484 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$40,383 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$156,791 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$84,446 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$78,706 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$225,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$122,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$189,852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$88,451 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$43,761 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$47,376 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No Bond chosen" at 75% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' repeated calls for patience amid delays in pre-production for the James Bond reboot under director Denis Villeneuve, with no official casting announcement despite ongoing speculation. Callum Turner holds the slim frontrunner edge among actors at 8.6%, buoyed by persistent betting market leadership on platforms like Kalshi and his rising profile post-Masters of the Air, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's 5.3% share stems from lingering 2024 offer rumors he has ambiguously addressed. Jacob Elordi's recent 2.9% surge follows early May reports placing him in "pole position" via casting director Nina Gold's search, though unverified insider buzz has yet to shift the market decisively. Traders eye potential late-2026 reveals as Bond 26 targets a 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,179,764
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No Bond chosen" at 75% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' repeated calls for patience amid delays in pre-production for the James Bond reboot under director Denis Villeneuve, with no official casting announcement despite ongoing speculation. Callum Turner holds the slim frontrunner edge among actors at 8.6%, buoyed by persistent betting market leadership on platforms like Kalshi and his rising profile post-Masters of the Air, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's 5.3% share stems from lingering 2024 offer rumors he has ambiguously addressed. Jacob Elordi's recent 2.9% surge follows early May reports placing him in "pole position" via casting director Nina Gold's search, though unverified insider buzz has yet to shift the market decisively. Traders eye potential late-2026 reveals as Bond 26 targets a 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,179,764
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 75%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.