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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 75%

Callum Turner 8.8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.4%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Polymarket

$2,179,736 Vol.

No Bond chosen 75%

Callum Turner 8.8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.4%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

Polymarket

$2,179,736 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$268,099 Vol.

75%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$143,454 Vol.

9%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$116,851 Vol.

5%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$258,554 Vol.

3%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$315,484 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$40,383 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$156,791 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$84,446 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$78,706 Vol.

1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$122,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$225,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$189,852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$88,451 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$43,761 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$47,376 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 74.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' May 14 confirmation that the official casting search for Denis Villeneuve's Bond 26 has just begun, led by acclaimed casting director Nina Gold—known for Game of Thrones. This fresh development underscores the secretive, protracted process with no actor selected amid a likely 2028 theatrical release, tempering speculation despite historical patterns of late announcements. Callum Turner tops contenders at 8.8% on recent Kalshi frontrunner buzz and insider chatter, Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% via enduring rumors, and Jacob Elordi's 2.9% stems from early May "pole position" reports of producer meetings, though all remain unconfirmed amid high uncertainty in franchise reboots.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,179,736
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at a 74.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' May 14 confirmation that the official casting search for Denis Villeneuve's Bond 26 has just begun, led by acclaimed casting director Nina Gold—known for Game of Thrones. This fresh development underscores the secretive, protracted process with no actor selected amid a likely 2028 theatrical release, tempering speculation despite historical patterns of late announcements. Callum Turner tops contenders at 8.8% on recent Kalshi frontrunner buzz and insider chatter, Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% via enduring rumors, and Jacob Elordi's 2.9% stems from early May "pole position" reports of producer meetings, though all remain unconfirmed amid high uncertainty in franchise reboots.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,179,736
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 75%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.