Steady mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader consensus around the 17.5-18 million range for total TSA passengers from May 11-17, reflecting consistent weekday screening volumes near 2.5 million and lighter weekend dips that average into this band. Ongoing air travel recovery, a balanced business-leisure mix, and early summer schedules continue to support momentum ahead of the Memorial Day surge, while higher jet fuel costs have only modestly tempered demand without triggering broader pullbacks. Recent checkpoint data shows no major disruptions, keeping the frontrunner outcome firmly in place as traders monitor final days for any last-minute corporate spikes or weather effects that could edge totals higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated17.5-18m 95%
16.5-17m 48%
18-18.5m 48%
<16.5m 43.5%
$1,066 Vol.
$1,066 Vol.
May 17, 2026
<16.5m
44%
16.5-17m
48%
17-17.5m
48%
17.5-18m
73%
18-18.5m
48%
>18.5m
25%
17.5-18m 95%
16.5-17m 48%
18-18.5m 48%
<16.5m 43.5%
$1,066 Vol.
$1,066 Vol.
May 17, 2026
<16.5m
$427 Vol.
44%
16.5-17m
$30 Vol.
48%
17-17.5m
$105 Vol.
48%
17.5-18m
$6 Vol.
73%
18-18.5m
$3 Vol.
48%
>18.5m
$495 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Steady mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader consensus around the 17.5-18 million range for total TSA passengers from May 11-17, reflecting consistent weekday screening volumes near 2.5 million and lighter weekend dips that average into this band. Ongoing air travel recovery, a balanced business-leisure mix, and early summer schedules continue to support momentum ahead of the Memorial Day surge, while higher jet fuel costs have only modestly tempered demand without triggering broader pullbacks. Recent checkpoint data shows no major disruptions, keeping the frontrunner outcome firmly in place as traders monitor final days for any last-minute corporate spikes or weather effects that could edge totals higher.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,066End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Steady mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader consensus around the 17.5-18 million range for total TSA passengers from May 11-17, reflecting consistent weekday screening volumes near 2.5 million and lighter weekend dips that average into this band. Ongoing air travel recovery, a balanced business-leisure mix, and early summer schedules continue to support momentum ahead of the Memorial Day surge, while higher jet fuel costs have only modestly tempered demand without triggering broader pullbacks. Recent checkpoint data shows no major disruptions, keeping the frontrunner outcome firmly in place as traders monitor final days for any last-minute corporate spikes or weather effects that could edge totals higher.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$1,066End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Steady mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader consensus around the 17.5-18 million range for total TSA passengers from May 11-17, reflecting consistent weekday screening volumes near 2.5 million and lighter weekend dips that average into this band. Ongoing air travel recovery, a balanced business-leisure mix, and early summer schedules continue to support momentum ahead of the Memorial Day surge, while higher jet fuel costs have only modestly tempered demand without triggering broader pullbacks. Recent checkpoint data shows no major disruptions, keeping the frontrunner outcome firmly in place as traders monitor final days for any last-minute corporate spikes or weather effects that could edge totals higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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