In the PGA Championship, the 79% implied probability against a hole-in-one stems primarily from the tournament's demanding par-3 holes, which feature extended distances, elevated greens, and precise pin placements surrounded by hazards. These setups challenge even the top professionals' iron play and tee-shot accuracy, especially amid variable wind conditions and firm course conditioning that reduce scoring opportunities. Recent player form highlights strong ball-striking across the field, yet historical patterns in majors show aces remain infrequent despite the depth of talent, with multiple rounds needed to offset the layout's emphasis on difficulty. This combination keeps the market consensus tilted toward no hole-in-one occurring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).In the PGA Championship, the 79% implied probability against a hole-in-one stems primarily from the tournament's demanding par-3 holes, which feature extended distances, elevated greens, and precise pin placements surrounded by hazards. These setups challenge even the top professionals' iron play and tee-shot accuracy, especially amid variable wind conditions and firm course conditioning that reduce scoring opportunities. Recent player form highlights strong ball-striking across the field, yet historical patterns in majors show aces remain infrequent despite the depth of talent, with multiple rounds needed to offset the layout's emphasis on difficulty. This combination keeps the market consensus tilted toward no hole-in-one occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,144End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).In the PGA Championship, the 79% implied probability against a hole-in-one stems primarily from the tournament's demanding par-3 holes, which feature extended distances, elevated greens, and precise pin placements surrounded by hazards. These setups challenge even the top professionals' iron play and tee-shot accuracy, especially amid variable wind conditions and firm course conditioning that reduce scoring opportunities. Recent player form highlights strong ball-striking across the field, yet historical patterns in majors show aces remain infrequent despite the depth of talent, with multiple rounds needed to offset the layout's emphasis on difficulty. This combination keeps the market consensus tilted toward no hole-in-one occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Volume
$1,144End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In the PGA Championship, the 79% implied probability against a hole-in-one stems primarily from the tournament's demanding par-3 holes, which feature extended distances, elevated greens, and precise pin placements surrounded by hazards. These setups challenge even the top professionals' iron play and tee-shot accuracy, especially amid variable wind conditions and firm course conditioning that reduce scoring opportunities. Recent player form highlights strong ball-striking across the field, yet historical patterns in majors show aces remain infrequent despite the depth of talent, with multiple rounds needed to offset the layout's emphasis on difficulty. This combination keeps the market consensus tilted toward no hole-in-one occurring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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