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PGA Championship: Hole in One?

icon for PGA Championship: Hole in One?

PGA Championship: Hole in One?

30% chance
Polymarket
NEW
30% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).The demanding setup at Aronimink Golf Club for the 2026 PGA Championship has tilted trader consensus heavily toward no hole in one. Tight, tucked pin placements on the par-3s have drawn sharp criticism from players including Scottie Scheffler, who called the locations among the toughest he has seen, forcing approaches to safer spots away from the flag and limiting aggressive attacks. Windy conditions and firm greens have further compressed scoring opportunities, producing more pars and bogeys than birdies through the early rounds. While the field features long hitters capable of reaching some par-3s, the combination of strategic hole locations and recent form favoring precision over risk has reinforced the strong market lean against an ace occurring.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Volume
$1,137
End Date
May 18, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).The demanding setup at Aronimink Golf Club for the 2026 PGA Championship has tilted trader consensus heavily toward no hole in one. Tight, tucked pin placements on the par-3s have drawn sharp criticism from players including Scottie Scheffler, who called the locations among the toughest he has seen, forcing approaches to safer spots away from the flag and limiting aggressive attacks. Windy conditions and firm greens have further compressed scoring opportunities, producing more pars and bogeys than birdies through the early rounds. While the field features long hitters capable of reaching some par-3s, the combination of strategic hole locations and recent form favoring precision over risk has reinforced the strong market lean against an ace occurring.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).
Volume
$1,137
End Date
May 18, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Championship (pgachampionship.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Championship: Hole in One?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 24% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 24¢, the market collectively assigns a 24% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Championship: Hole in One?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Championship: Hole in One?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "PGA Championship: Hole in One?" is 24% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 24% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "PGA Championship: Hole in One?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.