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icon for Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primary Elections

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primary Elections

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

Aaron Guckian 100.0%

Elaine Pelino <1%

Robert Raimondo <1%

Jessica de la Cruz <1%

Polymarket

$144,908 Vol.

Aaron Guckian 100.0%

Elaine Pelino <1%

Robert Raimondo <1%

Jessica de la Cruz <1%

Polymarket

$144,908 Vol.

icon for Aaron Guckian

Aaron Guckian

$63,774 Vol.

Yes

icon for Elaine Pelino

Elaine Pelino

$69,561 Vol.

No

icon for Robert Raimondo

Robert Raimondo

$5,474 Vol.

No

icon for Jessica de la Cruz

Jessica de la Cruz

$2,283 Vol.

No

icon for Ashley Kalus

Ashley Kalus

$3,817 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aaron Guckian secured the Republican nomination for Rhode Island governor in the September 9, 2026 primary after the state Board of Elections certified his narrow victory over Elaine Pelino on September 15, following a rejected recount request that left margins unchanged at roughly 50.6% to 49.4%. Party delegates had earlier endorsed Guckian at the June convention by a 72-44 margin, reflecting his background as a former aide to Republican Gov. Don Carcieri and his emphasis on fiscal efficiency and affordability. The close contest highlighted divisions between more moderate and Trump-aligned factions within the state GOP, yet certification and official results have solidified trader consensus around Guckian as the nominee. Late-stage legal challenges or procedural reversals remain theoretically possible but face high barriers given the completed certification process.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$144,908
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aaron Guckian secured the Republican nomination for Rhode Island governor in the September 9, 2026 primary after the state Board of Elections certified his narrow victory over Elaine Pelino on September 15, following a rejected recount request that left margins unchanged at roughly 50.6% to 49.4%. Party delegates had earlier endorsed Guckian at the June convention by a 72-44 margin, reflecting his background as a former aide to Republican Gov. Don Carcieri and his emphasis on fiscal efficiency and affordability. The close contest highlighted divisions between more moderate and Trump-aligned factions within the state GOP, yet certification and official results have solidified trader consensus around Guckian as the nominee. Late-stage legal challenges or procedural reversals remain theoretically possible but face high barriers given the completed certification process.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$144,908
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Guckian" at 100%, followed by "Elaine Pelino" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $144.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Aaron Guckian" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elaine Pelino" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.