SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-September after a sharp post-IPO correction from June highs above $225, leaving the market-implied odds clustered tightly around the $150–160 ranges as traders weigh near-term momentum against elevated valuations. The stock’s roughly 2-trillion-dollar market cap reflects forward multiples exceeding 100 times trailing revenue, supported by expanding Starlink subscriptions, new NASA contracts totaling nearly $2 billion, and projected AI-related revenue growth from the xAI acquisition. Recent analyst commentary, including Morgan Stanley’s reiterated $300 price target, underscores optimism on long-term space and compute expansion, yet the 33 percent drawdown from peak levels highlights sensitivity to launch delays, regulatory milestones, and broader risk appetite. With the next earnings release expected in November and Starship test flights imminent, any near-term resolution of volatility could shift the narrow probability bands that currently favor modest weekly closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$155-$160 25%
$150-$155 24%
$145-$150 20%
$160-$165 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<$130
9%
$130-$135
11%
$135-$140
7%
$140-$145
11%
$145-$150
20%
$150-$155
24%
$155-$160
25%
$160-$165
11%
$165-$170
11%
$170-$175
11%
>$175
11%
$155-$160 25%
$150-$155 24%
$145-$150 20%
$160-$165 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<$130
$0 Vol.
9%
$130-$135
$0 Vol.
11%
$135-$140
$0 Vol.
7%
$140-$145
$0 Vol.
11%
$145-$150
$0 Vol.
20%
$150-$155
$0 Vol.
24%
$155-$160
$0 Vol.
25%
$160-$165
$0 Vol.
11%
$165-$170
$0 Vol.
11%
$170-$175
$0 Vol.
11%
>$175
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-September after a sharp post-IPO correction from June highs above $225, leaving the market-implied odds clustered tightly around the $150–160 ranges as traders weigh near-term momentum against elevated valuations. The stock’s roughly 2-trillion-dollar market cap reflects forward multiples exceeding 100 times trailing revenue, supported by expanding Starlink subscriptions, new NASA contracts totaling nearly $2 billion, and projected AI-related revenue growth from the xAI acquisition. Recent analyst commentary, including Morgan Stanley’s reiterated $300 price target, underscores optimism on long-term space and compute expansion, yet the 33 percent drawdown from peak levels highlights sensitivity to launch delays, regulatory milestones, and broader risk appetite. With the next earnings release expected in November and Starship test flights imminent, any near-term resolution of volatility could shift the narrow probability bands that currently favor modest weekly closes.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-September after a sharp post-IPO correction from June highs above $225, leaving the market-implied odds clustered tightly around the $150–160 ranges as traders weigh near-term momentum against elevated valuations. The stock’s roughly 2-trillion-dollar market cap reflects forward multiples exceeding 100 times trailing revenue, supported by expanding Starlink subscriptions, new NASA contracts totaling nearly $2 billion, and projected AI-related revenue growth from the xAI acquisition. Recent analyst commentary, including Morgan Stanley’s reiterated $300 price target, underscores optimism on long-term space and compute expansion, yet the 33 percent drawdown from peak levels highlights sensitivity to launch delays, regulatory milestones, and broader risk appetite. With the next earnings release expected in November and Starship test flights imminent, any near-term resolution of volatility could shift the narrow probability bands that currently favor modest weekly closes.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $152–154 in mid-September after a sharp post-IPO correction from June highs above $225, leaving the market-implied odds clustered tightly around the $150–160 ranges as traders weigh near-term momentum against elevated valuations. The stock’s roughly 2-trillion-dollar market cap reflects forward multiples exceeding 100 times trailing revenue, supported by expanding Starlink subscriptions, new NASA contracts totaling nearly $2 billion, and projected AI-related revenue growth from the xAI acquisition. Recent analyst commentary, including Morgan Stanley’s reiterated $300 price target, underscores optimism on long-term space and compute expansion, yet the 33 percent drawdown from peak levels highlights sensitivity to launch delays, regulatory milestones, and broader risk appetite. With the next earnings release expected in November and Starship test flights imminent, any near-term resolution of volatility could shift the narrow probability bands that currently favor modest weekly closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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