Charlie Crist holds an 85% implied probability in the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff as the top primary finisher with 35% of the vote on August 18, advancing alongside incumbent Ken Welch at 21%. Crist maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $383,000 cash on hand compared to Welch’s under $25,000, and has secured recent endorsements from Black community leaders Cedric Gordon and Al White plus former council member Ed Montanari. Post-primary polling shows Crist leading Welch by double digits overall and narrowing or erasing Welch’s prior advantage among Black voters. The November 3 runoff remains the decisive contest, with Welch facing structural challenges from lower resources and shifting voter support in the nonpartisan race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$59,078 Vol.
$59,078 Vol.

Charlie Crist
85%

Ken Welch
11%
$59,078 Vol.
$59,078 Vol.

Charlie Crist
85%

Ken Welch
11%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Charlie Crist holds an 85% implied probability in the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff as the top primary finisher with 35% of the vote on August 18, advancing alongside incumbent Ken Welch at 21%. Crist maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with roughly $383,000 cash on hand compared to Welch’s under $25,000, and has secured recent endorsements from Black community leaders Cedric Gordon and Al White plus former council member Ed Montanari. Post-primary polling shows Crist leading Welch by double digits overall and narrowing or erasing Welch’s prior advantage among Black voters. The November 3 runoff remains the decisive contest, with Welch facing structural challenges from lower resources and shifting voter support in the nonpartisan race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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