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icon for UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?

UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?

icon for UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?

UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?

Paddy Pimblett 64%

Arman Tsarukyan 16%

Justin Gaethje 14%

Benoit Saint Denis 6.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Paddy Pimblett 64%

Arman Tsarukyan 16%

Justin Gaethje 14%

Benoit Saint Denis 6.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Paddy Pimblett

$1,389 Vol.

64%

Arman Tsarukyan

$96 Vol.

16%

Justin Gaethje

$67 Vol.

14%

Benoit Saint Denis

$29 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Paddy Pimblett leads market pricing for Ilia Topuria’s next opponent at 63.5% implied probability, driven by years of public animosity and Dana White’s September 2026 confirmation that both the grudge match and a Gaethje rematch “sound good.” Topuria’s June 2026 corner-stoppage loss to Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250 triggered a medical suspension, but recent clearance has accelerated lightweight-division matchmaking talks. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 15.5% as the top contender in the division, while lower-priced options like Benoit Saint Denis reflect stylistic or ranking-based speculation. Trader consensus favors the high-profile European clash over immediate title rematches or unconfirmed alternatives, given the absence of any official booking.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,581
End Date
Jun 17, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Paddy Pimblett leads market pricing for Ilia Topuria’s next opponent at 63.5% implied probability, driven by years of public animosity and Dana White’s September 2026 confirmation that both the grudge match and a Gaethje rematch “sound good.” Topuria’s June 2026 corner-stoppage loss to Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250 triggered a medical suspension, but recent clearance has accelerated lightweight-division matchmaking talks. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 15.5% as the top contender in the division, while lower-priced options like Benoit Saint Denis reflect stylistic or ranking-based speculation. Trader consensus favors the high-profile European clash over immediate title rematches or unconfirmed alternatives, given the absence of any official booking.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,581
End Date
Jun 17, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 10:54 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paddy Pimblett" at 64%, followed by "Arman Tsarukyan" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?" is "Paddy Pimblett" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.