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UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?

icon for UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?
Sports·Combats

UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?

Max Holloway 86.5%

Jorge Masvidal 23.1%

Michael Chandler 11%

Ian Garry <1%

Polymarket

$23,130 Vol.

Max Holloway 86.5%

Jorge Masvidal 23.1%

Michael Chandler 11%

Ian Garry <1%

Polymarket

$23,130 Vol.

Max Holloway

$6,456 Vol.

87%

Jorge Masvidal

$553 Vol.

23%

Nate Diaz

$12,231 Vol.

31%

Michael Chandler

$3,698 Vol.

14%

Ian Garry

$193 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus positions Max Holloway as the overwhelming favorite at 75.8% implied probability for Conor McGregor's next UFC bout, fueled by reports from UFC CEO Dana White and insider Ariel Helwani over the past week confirming a likely summer 2026 rematch—building on their 2013 featherweight encounter where McGregor secured a first-round knockout. Holloway's sustained elite form, including his BMF title win over Justin Gaethje at UFC 300, aligns with McGregor's welterweight return post-2021 leg injury layoff. Ian Garry's 24.8% reflects rising welterweight contender status, shared Irish roots, and SBG Ireland sparring clips hyping a generational clash. Jorge Masvidal (22.9%) draws BMF rivalry buzz despite retirement, while Michael Chandler (12.0%) and Nate Diaz (10.1%) persist from stalled scheduling and trilogy intrigue.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$23,130
End Date
Mar 7, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus positions Max Holloway as the overwhelming favorite at 75.8% implied probability for Conor McGregor's next UFC bout, fueled by reports from UFC CEO Dana White and insider Ariel Helwani over the past week confirming a likely summer 2026 rematch—building on their 2013 featherweight encounter where McGregor secured a first-round knockout. Holloway's sustained elite form, including his BMF title win over Justin Gaethje at UFC 300, aligns with McGregor's welterweight return post-2021 leg injury layoff. Ian Garry's 24.8% reflects rising welterweight contender status, shared Irish roots, and SBG Ireland sparring clips hyping a generational clash. Jorge Masvidal (22.9%) draws BMF rivalry buzz despite retirement, while Michael Chandler (12.0%) and Nate Diaz (10.1%) persist from stalled scheduling and trilogy intrigue.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$23,130
End Date
Mar 7, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Max Holloway" at 87%, followed by "Nate Diaz" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?" has generated $23.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?" is "Max Holloway" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nate Diaz" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.