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icon for UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

icon for UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Conor McGregor 77%

Paddy Pimblett 35%

Arman Tsarukyan 14.4%

Alexander Volkanovski 3.1%

Polymarket

$55,376 Vol.

Conor McGregor 77%

Paddy Pimblett 35%

Arman Tsarukyan 14.4%

Alexander Volkanovski 3.1%

Polymarket

$55,376 Vol.

Conor McGregor

$3,997 Vol.

73%

Paddy Pimblett

$493 Vol.

35%

Arman Tsarukyan

$658 Vol.

14%

Alexander Volkanovski

$1,027 Vol.

3%

Mateusz Gamrot

$5,239 Vol.

3%

Benoît Saint Denis

$513 Vol.

2%

Maurício Ruffy

$21,007 Vol.

1%

Dan Hooker

$20,438 Vol.

1%

Islam Makhachev

$490 Vol.

1%

Ilia Topuria

$697 Vol.

15%

Justin Gaethje

$817 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus prices Conor McGregor as the overwhelming favorite at 73% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, fueled by late-April reports from Ariel Helwani confirming UFC's plans for a high-profile rematch to headline UFC 329 on July 11 during International Fight Week, with Holloway expressing readiness despite no signed contract as of early May. Holloway seeks a rebound after dropping the BMF title via loss to Charles Oliveira in their UFC 326 main event on March 7. Ilia Topuria's 24% share reflects ongoing featherweight title rematch buzz from his prior knockout of Holloway, while Justin Gaethje's 22% nods to lightweight rivalry demand post-Holloway's BMF win over him. Paddy Pimblett and Arman Tsarukyan trail as viable lightweight contenders lacking equivalent recent hype.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$55,376
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus prices Conor McGregor as the overwhelming favorite at 73% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, fueled by late-April reports from Ariel Helwani confirming UFC's plans for a high-profile rematch to headline UFC 329 on July 11 during International Fight Week, with Holloway expressing readiness despite no signed contract as of early May. Holloway seeks a rebound after dropping the BMF title via loss to Charles Oliveira in their UFC 326 main event on March 7. Ilia Topuria's 24% share reflects ongoing featherweight title rematch buzz from his prior knockout of Holloway, while Justin Gaethje's 22% nods to lightweight rivalry demand post-Holloway's BMF win over him. Paddy Pimblett and Arman Tsarukyan trail as viable lightweight contenders lacking equivalent recent hype.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$55,376
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Conor McGregor" at 73%, followed by "Justin Gaethje" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" has generated $55.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is "Conor McGregor" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Gaethje" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.