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icon for MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
Sports·Mike Perry

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

icon for MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
Sports·Mike Perry

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Diaz

39% chance
Polymarket

$61,036 Vol.

Diaz

39% chance
Polymarket

$61,036 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Mike Perry holds a 58.5% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite heading into the May 16 MVP MMA 1 welterweight main event against Nate Diaz on Netflix, driven by Perry's sustained momentum in bareknuckle with a 5-0 BKFC record featuring TKOs over Eddie Alvarez and Luke Rockhold, highlighting his knockout power and aggression at age 34. Diaz, 41 with a 21-13 MMA ledger, returns after a four-year cage layoff marked by boxing bouts—a majority decision win over Jorge Masvidal and loss to Jake Paul—raising questions on ring rust despite elite cardio and submission threats. Recent fight-week face-offs at Intuit Dome revealed no injuries or withdrawals, positioning this five-round stylistic brawl as competitive with Perry's recent form tilting sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$61,036
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Mike Perry holds a 58.5% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite heading into the May 16 MVP MMA 1 welterweight main event against Nate Diaz on Netflix, driven by Perry's sustained momentum in bareknuckle with a 5-0 BKFC record featuring TKOs over Eddie Alvarez and Luke Rockhold, highlighting his knockout power and aggression at age 34. Diaz, 41 with a 21-13 MMA ledger, returns after a four-year cage layoff marked by boxing bouts—a majority decision win over Jorge Masvidal and loss to Jake Paul—raising questions on ring rust despite elite cardio and submission threats. Recent fight-week face-offs at Intuit Dome revealed no injuries or withdrawals, positioning this five-round stylistic brawl as competitive with Perry's recent form tilting sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$61,036
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

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Frequently Asked Questions

" MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" has generated $61K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" is " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.