**Intensified U.S. sanctions under "Operation Economic Outcast," launched in late August 2026, combined with the ongoing naval blockade and conflict impacts since February, form the primary drivers pushing trader consensus toward a weaker rial by end-September.** These measures target key sectors including shipping, aviation, gold, technology, and digital assets, while expanding secondary sanctions on facilitators, sharply curtailing Iran's oil exports (down over 80% month-over-month in some reports) and overall trade volumes (reported 25-35% declines). Parallel market rates recently spiked above 2 million IRR per USD amid these pressures, contrasting with the official rate near 1.37 million, as inflation remains elevated around 66% and GDP contraction forecasts exceed 5%. Iranian officials, including the supreme leader and president, have publicly acknowledged the resulting hardship and reduced foreign trade, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs or sanctions relief evident in the resolution window. This environment sustains expectations of further depreciation in the free-market rate tracked by the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
USD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 31%
2.0-2.1M 14%
1.9-2.0M 13%
2.1-2.2M 11.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
4%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
13%
2.0-2.1M
17%
2.1-2.2M
12%
2.2M+
42%
2.2M+ 31%
2.0-2.1M 14%
1.9-2.0M 13%
2.1-2.2M 11.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<1.7M
$449 Vol.
1%
1.7-1.8M
$370 Vol.
4%
1.8-1.9M
$368 Vol.
3%
1.9-2.0M
$819 Vol.
13%
2.0-2.1M
$2,072 Vol.
17%
2.1-2.2M
$879 Vol.
12%
2.2M+
$3,200 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Intensified U.S. sanctions under "Operation Economic Outcast," launched in late August 2026, combined with the ongoing naval blockade and conflict impacts since February, form the primary drivers pushing trader consensus toward a weaker rial by end-September.** These measures target key sectors including shipping, aviation, gold, technology, and digital assets, while expanding secondary sanctions on facilitators, sharply curtailing Iran's oil exports (down over 80% month-over-month in some reports) and overall trade volumes (reported 25-35% declines). Parallel market rates recently spiked above 2 million IRR per USD amid these pressures, contrasting with the official rate near 1.37 million, as inflation remains elevated around 66% and GDP contraction forecasts exceed 5%. Iranian officials, including the supreme leader and president, have publicly acknowledged the resulting hardship and reduced foreign trade, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs or sanctions relief evident in the resolution window. This environment sustains expectations of further depreciation in the free-market rate tracked by the market.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$8,157End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Intensified U.S. sanctions under "Operation Economic Outcast," launched in late August 2026, combined with the ongoing naval blockade and conflict impacts since February, form the primary drivers pushing trader consensus toward a weaker rial by end-September.** These measures target key sectors including shipping, aviation, gold, technology, and digital assets, while expanding secondary sanctions on facilitators, sharply curtailing Iran's oil exports (down over 80% month-over-month in some reports) and overall trade volumes (reported 25-35% declines). Parallel market rates recently spiked above 2 million IRR per USD amid these pressures, contrasting with the official rate near 1.37 million, as inflation remains elevated around 66% and GDP contraction forecasts exceed 5%. Iranian officials, including the supreme leader and president, have publicly acknowledged the resulting hardship and reduced foreign trade, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs or sanctions relief evident in the resolution window. This environment sustains expectations of further depreciation in the free-market rate tracked by the market.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$8,157End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Intensified U.S. sanctions under "Operation Economic Outcast," launched in late August 2026, combined with the ongoing naval blockade and conflict impacts since February, form the primary drivers pushing trader consensus toward a weaker rial by end-September.** These measures target key sectors including shipping, aviation, gold, technology, and digital assets, while expanding secondary sanctions on facilitators, sharply curtailing Iran's oil exports (down over 80% month-over-month in some reports) and overall trade volumes (reported 25-35% declines). Parallel market rates recently spiked above 2 million IRR per USD amid these pressures, contrasting with the official rate near 1.37 million, as inflation remains elevated around 66% and GDP contraction forecasts exceed 5%. Iranian officials, including the supreme leader and president, have publicly acknowledged the resulting hardship and reduced foreign trade, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs or sanctions relief evident in the resolution window. This environment sustains expectations of further depreciation in the free-market rate tracked by the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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