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icon for Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

icon for Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 1

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 1

Google 46%

ByteDance 18.8%

OpenAI 13%

Lightricks 11.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Google 46%

ByteDance 18.8%

OpenAI 13%

Lightricks 11.2%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Google

Google

$537 Vol.

46%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$940 Vol.

19%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$126 Vol.

16%

icon for Lightricks

Lightricks

$76 Vol.

11%

icon for Black Forest Labs

Black Forest Labs

$62 Vol.

5%

icon for Meta

Meta

$96 Vol.

4%

icon for Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

$101 Vol.

6%

icon for Kandinsky

Kandinsky

$76 Vol.

4%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$59 Vol.

4%

icon for KlingAI

KlingAI

$54 Vol.

4%

icon for Pruna

Pruna

$62 Vol.

3%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$172 Vol.

12%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$240 Vol.

3%

icon for Luma AI

Luma AI

$62 Vol.

3%

icon for Genmo AI

Genmo AI

$88 Vol.

3%

icon for Pixverse

Pixverse

$62 Vol.

2%

icon for Runway

Runway

$62 Vol.

2%

icon for Pika

Pika

$179 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash currently anchor trader sentiment at 45.5% implied probability, driven by consistent top or near-top rankings on Artificial Analysis arenas through September 2026, strong prompt adherence, native audio generation, and 4K output. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0/2.5 follows at 18.8% on the strength of its image-to-video leadership, dynamic camera control, and multi-reference consistency, while Kling 3.0 and Alibaba's HappyHorse/Wan models compete closely on value, multi-shot stability, and specific benchmarks. OpenAI's Sora API sunset on September 24 has sharply reduced its odds to 16.5%, leaving the field open. With resolution at end of November, fresh arena updates or model drops from these labs represent the main near-term catalysts in a tightly contested race.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,051
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash currently anchor trader sentiment at 45.5% implied probability, driven by consistent top or near-top rankings on Artificial Analysis arenas through September 2026, strong prompt adherence, native audio generation, and 4K output. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0/2.5 follows at 18.8% on the strength of its image-to-video leadership, dynamic camera control, and multi-reference consistency, while Kling 3.0 and Alibaba's HappyHorse/Wan models compete closely on value, multi-shot stability, and specific benchmarks. OpenAI's Sora API sunset on September 24 has sharply reduced its odds to 16.5%, leaving the field open. With resolution at end of November, fresh arena updates or model drops from these labs represent the main near-term catalysts in a tightly contested race.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,051
End Date
Dec 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Google" at 46%, followed by "ByteDance" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?" is "Google" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ByteDance" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.