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icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
Tech·CFTC

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
Tech·CFTC

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$13,639 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$13,639 Vol.

Polymarket
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CBOE

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC advisories, including the July 2026 guidance against broad template-style self-certifications under Regulation 40.2, have raised compliance standards for sports event contracts by requiring detailed settlement methodology, data source analysis, and core principle evaluations for each filing or qualifying class. This follows March 2026 prediction market guidance and a June 2026 proposed rulemaking that emphasize pre-filing engagement with leagues and information-sharing agreements to address manipulation risks. CME has already listed sports-related event contract swaps, while Railbird (DraftKings’ DCM) self-certified multiple contract types in May 2026; other platforms face higher barriers and potential CFTC stays. The December 31 deadline coincides with ongoing 2026 sports seasons and possible final rule implementation, creating uncertainty around which additional DCMs will complete compliant filings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,639
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC advisories, including the July 2026 guidance against broad template-style self-certifications under Regulation 40.2, have raised compliance standards for sports event contracts by requiring detailed settlement methodology, data source analysis, and core principle evaluations for each filing or qualifying class. This follows March 2026 prediction market guidance and a June 2026 proposed rulemaking that emphasize pre-filing engagement with leagues and information-sharing agreements to address manipulation risks. CME has already listed sports-related event contract swaps, while Railbird (DraftKings’ DCM) self-certified multiple contract types in May 2026; other platforms face higher barriers and potential CFTC stays. The December 31 deadline coincides with ongoing 2026 sports seasons and possible final rule implementation, creating uncertainty around which additional DCMs will complete compliant filings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,639
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aristotle" at 100%, followed by "CBOE" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" is "Aristotle" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "CBOE" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.