Recent polling from sources like Yale Youth Poll and Pew Research Center shows Democrats maintaining a substantial edge among voters ages 18-29, including young men, with margins often exceeding 20 points on the generic congressional ballot. This stems from declining approval for the incumbent administration among this demographic since 2024, driven by economic pressures such as affordability and cost of living, alongside lower midterm turnout expectations among Republican-leaning young men. PRRI data from early September notes a persistent but narrowing gender gap in party identification, with young men at 27% Republican identification. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily in assigning Democrats the leading position, while Republicans trail amid uncertain enthusiasm and shifts among independents and lower-propensity voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
73%
Republicans
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
$0 Vol.
73%
Republicans
$0 Vol.
28%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from sources like Yale Youth Poll and Pew Research Center shows Democrats maintaining a substantial edge among voters ages 18-29, including young men, with margins often exceeding 20 points on the generic congressional ballot. This stems from declining approval for the incumbent administration among this demographic since 2024, driven by economic pressures such as affordability and cost of living, alongside lower midterm turnout expectations among Republican-leaning young men. PRRI data from early September notes a persistent but narrowing gender gap in party identification, with young men at 27% Republican identification. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily in assigning Democrats the leading position, while Republicans trail amid uncertain enthusiasm and shifts among independents and lower-propensity voters.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from sources like Yale Youth Poll and Pew Research Center shows Democrats maintaining a substantial edge among voters ages 18-29, including young men, with margins often exceeding 20 points on the generic congressional ballot. This stems from declining approval for the incumbent administration among this demographic since 2024, driven by economic pressures such as affordability and cost of living, alongside lower midterm turnout expectations among Republican-leaning young men. PRRI data from early September notes a persistent but narrowing gender gap in party identification, with young men at 27% Republican identification. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily in assigning Democrats the leading position, while Republicans trail amid uncertain enthusiasm and shifts among independents and lower-propensity voters.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from sources like Yale Youth Poll and Pew Research Center shows Democrats maintaining a substantial edge among voters ages 18-29, including young men, with margins often exceeding 20 points on the generic congressional ballot. This stems from declining approval for the incumbent administration among this demographic since 2024, driven by economic pressures such as affordability and cost of living, alongside lower midterm turnout expectations among Republican-leaning young men. PRRI data from early September notes a persistent but narrowing gender gap in party identification, with young men at 27% Republican identification. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily in assigning Democrats the leading position, while Republicans trail amid uncertain enthusiasm and shifts among independents and lower-propensity voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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