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Геополитика·США х Иран

Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?

icon for Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?
Геополитика·США х Иран

Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?

$865,805 Объем

7 июл. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$865,805 Объем

Polymarket

Стив Уиткофф

$63,574 Объем

7%

Шахбаз Шариф

$61,067 Объем

6%

Аббас Арагчи

$166,439 Объем

5%

Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа

$2,949 Объем

5%

Джаред Кушнер

$84,480 Объем

5%

Мохаммед бин Зайед Аль Нахайян

$3,065 Объем

4%

Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

$2,204 Объем

4%

Джей Ди Вэнс

$244,176 Объем

3%

Абдель Фаттах ас-Сиси

$2,124 Объем

2%

Король Абдалла II

$22,070 Объем

2%

Марко Рубио

$8,822 Объем

2%

Биньямин Нетаньяху

$3,482 Объем

2%

Масуд Пезешкиан

$75,637 Объем

2%

Пит Хегсет

$4,329 Объем

2%

Шейх Тамим бин Хамад Аль Тани

$43,986 Объем

1%

Мишаль Аль-Ахмад Аль-Джабер Ас-Сабах

$1,540 Объем

1%

Мохаммед бен Салман

$4,748 Объем

1%

Дональд Трамп

$55,674 Объем

1%

Илон Маск

$2,030 Объем

1%

Моджтаба Хаменеи

$13,409 Объем

<1%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$865,805
Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$865,805
Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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«Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Стив Уиткофф» с 7%, за ним следует «Шахбаз Шариф» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 7¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 7%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $865.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» — «Стив Уиткофф» всего с 7%, а «Шахбаз Шариф» близко позади с 6%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.