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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexandre Pantoja 50%

Joshua Van 42%

Tatsuro Taira 34.0%

Manel Kape 20.6%

Polymarket

$14,774 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja 50%

Joshua Van 42%

Tatsuro Taira 34.0%

Manel Kape 20.6%

Polymarket

$14,774 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja

$5,202 Vol.

42%

Joshua Van

$3,212 Vol.

42%

Tatsuro Taira

$1,183 Vol.

18%

Manel Kape

$1,170 Vol.

21%

Steve Erceg

$848 Vol.

1%

Brandon Moreno

$393 Vol.

<1%

Tim Elliott

$548 Vol.

<1%

Asu Almabayev

$533 Vol.

<1%

Amir Albazi

$507 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$442 Vol.

<1%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$736 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van holds the edge in trader sentiment as the current UFC flyweight champion following his December 2025 title win over Alexandre Pantoja, who exited early with an elbow injury at UFC 323. Van has since posted a successful defense against Tatsuro Taira, reinforcing his position heading into the remainder of 2026. Pantoja sits close behind with an expected immediate rematch slated for late summer, leveraging his prior multi-year reign and elite experience. Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi draw support from strong recent form and rankings momentum, while Taira benefits from a high-profile title shot opportunity. The division's depth and potential for further title changes keep the market competitive among the top contenders through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$14,774
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van holds the edge in trader sentiment as the current UFC flyweight champion following his December 2025 title win over Alexandre Pantoja, who exited early with an elbow injury at UFC 323. Van has since posted a successful defense against Tatsuro Taira, reinforcing his position heading into the remainder of 2026. Pantoja sits close behind with an expected immediate rematch slated for late summer, leveraging his prior multi-year reign and elite experience. Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi draw support from strong recent form and rankings momentum, while Taira benefits from a high-profile title shot opportunity. The division's depth and potential for further title changes keep the market competitive among the top contenders through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$14,774
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 42%, followed by "Joshua Van" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joshua Van" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.