Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 75%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Umar Nurmagomedov 2.1%
Deiveson Figueiredo 1.8%
$1,160,703 Vol.
$1,160,703 Vol.
Petr Yan
75%
Song Yadong
4%
Umar Nurmagomedov
2%
Deiveson Figueiredo
2%
Rob Font
2%
Cory Sandhagen
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Payton Talbott
2%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Sean O'Malley
1%
Petr Yan 75%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Umar Nurmagomedov 2.1%
Deiveson Figueiredo 1.8%
$1,160,703 Vol.
$1,160,703 Vol.
Petr Yan
75%
Song Yadong
4%
Umar Nurmagomedov
2%
Deiveson Figueiredo
2%
Rob Font
2%
Cory Sandhagen
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Payton Talbott
2%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Sean O'Malley
1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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