Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party ranks, with more than 100 PLA officers removed since 2022 and five of six Central Military Commission members appointed at the 20th Party Congress ousted by early 2026. The January 2026 investigations of Generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, underscore that even long-time allies face scrutiny under party discipline rules. These actions occur amid preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and loyalty vetting that began intensifying in spring 2026. Traders monitor signals from the National People’s Congress, military promotions, and official statements on “self-revolution” for indications of additional targets before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$199,128 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
13%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Cai Qi
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Xi
3%
Li Qiang
2%
Wang Yi
2%
$199,128 Vol.
Dong Jun
$37,884 Vol.
13%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,278 Vol.
6%
Cai Qi
$43,298 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$10,974 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,094 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$11,823 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,260 Vol.
3%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party ranks, with more than 100 PLA officers removed since 2022 and five of six Central Military Commission members appointed at the 20th Party Congress ousted by early 2026. The January 2026 investigations of Generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, underscore that even long-time allies face scrutiny under party discipline rules. These actions occur amid preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and loyalty vetting that began intensifying in spring 2026. Traders monitor signals from the National People’s Congress, military promotions, and official statements on “self-revolution” for indications of additional targets before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$199,128End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party ranks, with more than 100 PLA officers removed since 2022 and five of six Central Military Commission members appointed at the 20th Party Congress ousted by early 2026. The January 2026 investigations of Generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, underscore that even long-time allies face scrutiny under party discipline rules. These actions occur amid preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and loyalty vetting that began intensifying in spring 2026. Traders monitor signals from the National People’s Congress, military promotions, and official statements on “self-revolution” for indications of additional targets before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$199,128End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and senior Communist Party ranks, with more than 100 PLA officers removed since 2022 and five of six Central Military Commission members appointed at the 20th Party Congress ousted by early 2026. The January 2026 investigations of Generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, followed by the July expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, underscore that even long-time allies face scrutiny under party discipline rules. These actions occur amid preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, including cadre assessments and loyalty vetting that began intensifying in spring 2026. Traders monitor signals from the National People’s Congress, military promotions, and official statements on “self-revolution” for indications of additional targets before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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